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Wind SeiryuuTier 2

at Yume Store Championships

decks
4 (25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13 6-6-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.0% avg ELO -4.6 per match
expected value
48.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1305 · median 1356 · range 1082–1425 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1082 Q1 1213 Q3 1302 1425
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Luxem Assassin 12.5% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 37.3% -12.2
Fire Crux Lorraine 6.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.9% +6.2
Fire Exia 6.2% 0
Fire Slimes 6.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 47.0% -2.9
Fire Suited 6.2% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 53.0% +2.2
Fire Umbra Guardian 6.2% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 57.6% +7.3
Water Aetherwing 6.2% 0
Wind Crux Mage 6.2% 0
Wind Lorraine 6.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 35.1% -23.8
Wind Razorgale 6.2% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 6.2% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 32.8% -16.5
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Royal Oathguard, Brisk Windtrotter. Losers more often ran: Beseech the Winds.

Played more by winners
Royal Oathguard
Winning decks ran 2.3 copies on average, losing decks 1.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Brisk Windtrotter
Winning decks ran 3.3 copies on average, losing decks 3.0.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Played more by losers
Beseech the Winds
Losing decks ran 2.3 copies on average, winning decks 1.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Show all 34 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Aesan Protector -0.67 0 2 0
Displace +0.67 2 0 1
Forest Cake -0.67 0 2 1
Windmill Engineer -0.67 0 2 1
Scout the Land +0.67 2 0 0
Enfeebling Orb +0.67 2 0 0
Annul Spell +0.67 2 0 0
Resolute Stand +0.33 1 0 2
Longtail Grovesward +0.33 1 0 2
Royal Oathguard +0.33 2 1 0
Veiling Breeze -0.33 0 1 1
Grand Crusader's Ring -0.33 0 1 1
Beseech the Winds -0.33 1 2 0
Winds of Destiny -0.33 0 1 1
Harness Lightning +0.33 1 0 2
Incapacitate -0.33 0 1 1
Brisk Windtrotter +0.33 2 1 0
Nullifying Mirror -0.33 0 1 0
Dream Fairy -0.33 0 1 2
Scatter Essence -0.33 0 1 0
Lost Providence +0.33 1 0 1
Regal Inquisition +0.33 1 0 1
Expel the Departed -0.33 0 1 0
Candlelight Hourglass +0.00 1 1 0
Stifling Trap +0.00 1 1 1
Sunblessed Gazelle +0.00 1 1 1
Nullifying Lantern +0.00 1 1 1
Trained Hawk +0.00 1 1 1
Crystallized Destiny +0.00 1 1 0
Spellward Scepter +0.00 1 1 0
Baby Green Slime +0.00 1 1 1
Innervate Agility +0.00 1 1 1
Stolen Chance +0.00 1 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/42827/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu